Dow Valuation

DOW Stock  USD 32.49  0.16  0.49%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. Dow Inc shows a prevailing Real Value of $32.3 per share. The current price of the firm is $32.49. Our model computes the value of Dow Inc from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 717.53 M, profit margin of (0.07) %, and Current Valuation of 39.09 B as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Dow's valuation include:
Price Book
1.4563
Enterprise Value
39.1 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
32.908
Price Sales
0.5833
Forward PE
13.6054
Fairly Valued
Today
32.49
Please note that Dow's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Dow Inc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Dow's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Dow stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Dow Inc. Since Dow is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Dow Stock. However, Dow's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  32.49 Real  32.3 Target  29.19 Hype  32.91
The intrinsic value of Dow's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Dow's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
32.30
Real Value
35.08
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Dow Inc helps investors to forecast how Dow stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Dow more accurately as focusing exclusively on Dow's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
-0.13-0.060.10
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.1332.9135.69
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
26.5629.1932.40
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Dow's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Dow's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Dow's closest peers.

Dow Cash

3.71 Billion

Dow Revenue by Product

Dow Total Value Analysis

Dow Inc is currently estimated to have company total value of 39.09 B with market capitalization of 23.31 B, debt of 20.7 B, and cash on hands of 3.82 B. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Dow fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
39.09 B
23.31 B
20.7 B
3.82 B

Dow Investor Information

About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.46. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Dow Inc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.54. The entity recorded a loss per share of 3.7. The firm last dividend was issued on the 27th of February 2026. Dow had 3:1 split on the 19th of June 2000. Based on the key measurements obtained from Dow's financial statements, Dow Inc is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.00620.0065
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income247 M260 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable

Dow Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The latest return on assets of Dow indicates not a very effective usage of assets in February.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Dow Profitability Analysis

Based on the key profitability measurements obtained from Dow's financial statements, Dow Inc may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Dow's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
2009-09-30
Previous Quarter
62 M
Current Value
-1.5 B
Quarterly Volatility
985.8 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Gross Profit is likely to drop to about 2.3 B in 2026. Pretax Profit Margin is likely to climb to -0.06 in 2026
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.05690.0599
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.00620.0065
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
For Dow profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Dow Inc to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Dow utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Dow's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Dow over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Dow Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Dow is estimated to be -0.0556 with future projections ranging from a low of -0.13 to a high of 0.1034. Dow's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -3.7. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Dow Inc is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Dow is projected to generate -0.0556 in earnings per share on the 30th of June 2026. Dow earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Dow EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Dow's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Dow, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Dow Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Dow's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Dow is estimated to be -0.0556 with the future projection ranging from a low of -0.13 to a high of 0.1034. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Dow Inc is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
-0.13
Lowest
Expected EPS
-0.0556
0.10
Highest

Dow Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Dow's value are higher than the current market price of the Dow stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Dow is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Dow's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 30th of June 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1961.53%
0.0
-0.0556
-3.7

Dow Ownership Allocation

Dow holds a total of 717.53 Million outstanding shares. Over half of Dow's outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These other corporate entities are typically referred to as corporate investors that obtain positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Please note that on December 16, 2025, Representative Gilbert Cisneros of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Dow Inc's common stock.

Dow Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 39.97 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (2.62 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.49 B.

Dow Past Distributions to stockholders

About Dow Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Dow. We calculate exposure to Dow's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Dow's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit2.4 B2.3 B
Pretax Profit Margin(0.06)(0.06)
Operating Profit Margin 0.01  0.01 
Net Loss(0.07)(0.06)
Gross Profit Margin 0.06  0.06 

Dow Quarterly Retained Earnings

16.78 Billion

Dow's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Dow's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Dow can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Dow represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Dow, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Dow Dividends Analysis For Valuation

Dividends Paid is likely to climb to about (1.4 B) in 2026. Dividend Yield is likely to drop to 0.07 in 2026. At this time, Dow's Retained Earnings are fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to climb to 0.02 in 2026, whereas Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop slightly above 25.6 B in 2026.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-1.5 B-1.4 B
Dividend Yield 0.09  0.07 
Dividend Payout Ratio(0.57)(0.54)
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.26  0.25 
There are various types of dividends Dow can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Dow shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Dow Inc directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Dow pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Dow by the value of the dividends paid out.

Dow Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Dow does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding711.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.733
Forward Price Earnings13.6054

Dow Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Dow Inc and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Dow we look at many different elements of the entity such as Dow's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Dow, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Dow's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Dow's worth.

Additional Tools for Dow Stock Analysis

When running Dow's price analysis, check to measure Dow's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dow is operating at the current time. Most of Dow's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dow's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dow's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dow to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.